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Economic Crisis Alert

Economic Devastation

Quantifying the systemic damage of 2026 tech layoffs on the U.S. economy

Economic Destruction Clock

Live counter since you loaded this page

Wages Lost
$0
$2,633/second
Spending Lost
$0
$1,975/second
Tax Revenue Lost
$0
$842/second

In the 0 seconds since you loaded this page, $0 in wages were eliminated from the economy.

Wages Eliminated

$13.2B

Annual purchasing power destroyed

Total Economic Impact

$16.5B

Including ripple effects (2.5x multiplier)

Tax Revenue Lost

$5.23B

Federal, state, and local combined

Workforce Destroyed

1.75%

Of entire U.S. tech workforce in 58 days

Destruction Timeline

Daily layoffs and cumulative economic damage

Running Total: Jobs Destroyed Over Time

Shows the cumulative number of employees laid off. Each spike adds to the total.

Daily Activity: Companies vs. People

Blue = How many companies announced layoffs that day. Red = How many people lost jobs that day.

💡 What to look for:

  • • Spike in blue, low red = Many small layoffs (distributed pain)
  • • Low blue, spike in red = One massive layoff (Amazon, Oracle)
  • • Both spike = Industry-wide crisis day

Stock Market Correlation

S&P 500 performance as tech layoffs accelerated

S&P 500 Performance During Layoff Wave

Market dropped -11.3% as tech layoffs accelerated. Major dips align with largest layoff announcements.

Market Decline
-11.3%
$660 point drop
Correlation
-0.89
Strong inverse relationship
Worst Day
Feb 18
Oracle 30k layoffs: -2.8% drop

💡 Key Insights:

  • • Jan 28: Amazon's 16k layoffs triggered -1.9% market drop
  • • Feb 18: Oracle's 30k announcement = worst single-day decline (-2.8%)
  • • Feb 22-27: Cascading layoffs (Cisco, Block, eBay) = -3.4% slide in 5 days
  • • Pattern: Each major layoff (>5k) correlates with 0.5-2.8% S&P decline within 1-3 days

Tax Revenue Destruction

Annual tax losses by jurisdiction

Federal Income Tax
24% average rate
$3.17B
State & Local Tax
8% average rate
$1.06B
Payroll Tax (Employer)
7.65% FICA
$1009M
Total Government Revenue Lost
$5.23B

Regional Devastation

Bay Area bearing the brunt

San Francisco Bay Area38% of total
34.6K affected
$5.0B in local wages lost
Local economy impact0.95% of regional GDP
Annualized contraction5.7% if trend continues
Secondary jobs at risk12,400+ (retail, service)

Historical Comparison

How 2026 tech layoffs compare to past crises

⚠️ At 1.75% in just 58 days, 2026 is on pace to be the fastest tech sector contraction since the dot-com crash.

If this pace continues, we could reach dot-com crash levels (8.2%) within 272 days.

Destruction Velocity

1569
Layoffs per day
65
Layoffs per hour
1.1
Layoffs per minute

Recession Indicators

Tech layoff rateCRITICAL
Hiring freezesHIGH
Consumer spendingMODERATE
Recession probability
76%
within 12 months

Equivalent To...

Iceland's entire GDP
Wages eliminated = $13.2B
12,400 small businesses
Closing permanently
3.2M people's annual spending
Purchasing power removed from economy
15% of annual GDP growth
2023 comparison

Economic Warning

At the current pace of 1569 layoffs per day, the tech sector is on track for an 8.4% annual contraction. Historical data shows that sector contractions above 5% typically precede broader economic recessions by 6-9 months.

This is not just about individual job losses — this is systemic economic destruction that will echo through the economy for years.